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Ginger Ale Portfolio

A small-cap-value-tilted global 90/10 portfolio with a long-Treasury sleeve for ballast.

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S&P 500 Backfill (estimated to 1871)1871-02-28 → 2026-06-30Estimated from 1871 to SPY's 1993 inception using the S&P 500 total-return index (Robert Shiller), minus the fund's expense ratio, then chain-linked to the real SPY fund. The dashed part of the chart is estimated - an index proxy, not the fund's real record.
%
backfill estimated before SPY's 1993 inception, from the S&P 500 total-return index (Robert Shiller).
Vanguard Small-Cap Value ETF2004-02-29 → 2026-06-30click to change
%
Developed ex-US Backfill (estimated to 1990)1990-07-31 → 2026-06-30Estimated from 1990 to EFA's 2005 inception using developed ex-US market returns (Ken French), minus the fund's expense ratio, then chain-linked to the real EFA fund. The dashed part of the chart is estimated - an index proxy, not the fund's real record.
%
backfill estimated before EFA's 2005 inception, from developed ex-US market returns (Ken French).
Emerging Markets Backfill (estimated to 1989)1989-07-31 → 2026-06-30Estimated from 1989 to EEM's 2003 inception using emerging-market returns (Ken French), minus the fund's expense ratio, then chain-linked to the real EEM fund. The dashed part of the chart is estimated - an index proxy, not the fund's real record.
%
backfill estimated before EEM's 2003 inception, from emerging-market returns (Ken French).
Long-Term Treasury Backfill (20+yr, estimated to 1953)1953-05-31 → 2026-06-30Estimated from 1953 to TLT's 2002 inception using the 20-year Treasury yield (FRED), modeled as a constant-maturity bond, minus the fund's expense ratio, then chain-linked to the real TLT fund. The dashed part of the chart is estimated - an index proxy, not the fund's real record.
%
backfill estimated before TLT's 2002 inception, from the 20-year Treasury yield (FRED), modeled as a constant-maturity bond.
Total 100%
Data window Ginger Ale Portfolio: 2004-02-29 → 2026-06-30 · start: VBR
Dashed = estimated before the fund existed (reconstructed from its tracked index): EMKTX from 1989-07-31 · INTLX from 1990-07-31 · SP500X from 1871-02-28 · UST20X from 1953-05-31

Portfolio growth

Ginger Ale Portfolio
CAGR8.55%
Max Drawdown-50.20%
Volatility14.64%
Sharpe0.52
Final balance$62,899
Total return528.99%

Drawdown

Annual returns

Ginger Ale Portfolio
Total Return528.99%
Sortino0.68
Best Year30.91%
Worst Year-33.52%
Positive Months62.45%
Annualized Return (mean)9.32%

Correlation

EMKTXINTLXSP500XUST20XVBR
EMKTX1.000.850.74-0.050.70
INTLX0.851.000.86-0.050.81
SP500X0.740.861.00-0.090.89
UST20X-0.05-0.05-0.091.00-0.14
VBR0.700.810.89-0.141.00